Can Sri Lanka and Pakistan nonetheless make the semi-finals?

Do Sri Lanka nonetheless have an opportunity of qualifying?

With 4 factors from six video games, Sri Lanka are on the identical boat as Pakistan and Netherlands. The state of affairs is dire, however they are not utterly out of it but. Mathematically, it is nonetheless doable that two groups end on 12 or extra factors, and as many as seven groups find yourself on eight, preventing for 2 spots.

Meaning Sri Lanka, who can nonetheless end on 10 factors, are within the combine, as are Pakistan and Netherlands. Nevertheless, given how poorly they’ve performed thus far, and that two of their three remaining video games are towards India and New Zealand, the possibilities of them progressing are fairly slim.

How a lot does this victory enhance Afghanistan’s possibilities of ending within the high 4?

With their win over Sri Lanka, Afghanistan presently have six factors from as many video games, and in the event that they win all three of their remaining matches they are going to end on 12. On condition that solely 4 different groups can get to 12 or extra factors, they are going to have a good likelihood in the event that they do rise up to 12. Nevertheless, whereas they are going to anticipate to beat Netherlands, whom they play subsequent on Friday, their final two matches are towards Australia and South Africa. Even 10 factors may give them an opportunity if different outcomes go their approach.

Nevertheless, if it comes right down to internet run charges, Afghanistan’s present worth of -0.718 may work towards them; the groups within the high 4 all have NRRs of greater than 0.95.

What are Pakistan’s probabilities, going into Tuesday’s recreation towards Bangladesh?

Pakistan have had a forgettable marketing campaign thus far, however they nonetheless have a mathematical likelihood of ending within the high 4, even third, if different outcomes go their approach. They can not meet up with India’s 12, but when a minimum of one among New Zealand, South Africa and Australia lose a couple of video games and do not transcend 10, it may come right down to run charges.

Even when Pakistan lose, there may be the potential of the eight-point tussle talked about above.

Will 14 factors be sufficient for qualification?

Sure, as solely India, South Africa, New Zealand and Australia can end on 14 or extra factors. Meaning a win on Thursday towards Sri Lanka will guarantee India of a spot within the semi-finals.