Do Sri Lanka nonetheless have an opportunity of qualifying?
With 4 factors from six video games, Sri Lanka are on the identical boat as Pakistan and Netherlands. The scenario is dire, however they are not fully out of it but. Mathematically, it is nonetheless potential that two groups end on 12 or extra factors, and as many as seven groups find yourself on eight, preventing for 2 spots.
Which means Sri Lanka, who can nonetheless end on 10 factors, are within the combine, as are Pakistan and Netherlands. Nevertheless, given how poorly they’ve performed to this point, and that two of their three remaining video games are in opposition to India and New Zealand, the possibilities of them progressing are fairly slim.
How a lot does this victory enhance Afghanistan’s possibilities of ending within the prime 4?
With their win over Sri Lanka, Afghanistan at the moment have six factors from as many video games, and in the event that they win all three of their remaining matches they’ll end on 12. Provided that solely 4 different groups can get to 12 or extra factors, they’ll have a good probability in the event that they do rise up to 12. Nevertheless, whereas they’ll count on to beat Netherlands, whom they play subsequent on Friday, their final two matches are in opposition to Australia and South Africa. Even 10 factors may give them an opportunity if different outcomes go their approach.
Nevertheless, if it comes all the way down to web run charges, Afghanistan’s present worth of -0.718 may work in opposition to them; the groups within the prime 4 all have NRRs of greater than 0.95.
What are Pakistan’s probabilities, going into Tuesday’s sport in opposition to Bangladesh?
Pakistan have had a forgettable marketing campaign to this point, however they nonetheless have a mathematical probability of ending within the prime 4, even third, if different outcomes go their approach. They can not meet up with India’s 12, but when no less than one in all New Zealand, South Africa and Australia lose a number of video games and do not transcend 10, it may come all the way down to run charges.
Even when Pakistan lose, there’s the potential of the eight-point tussle talked about above.
Will 14 factors be sufficient for qualification?
Sure, as solely India, South Africa, New Zealand and Australia can end on 14 or extra factors. Which means a win on Thursday in opposition to Sri Lanka will guarantee India of a spot within the semi-finals.
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