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I went 4-5 towards the unfold final week to enhance to 2 video games over .500 for the season towards the quantity. The nice: nailing one other Upset Particular with Clemson beating Notre Dame. The dangerous: selecting USC to lose by solely two to Washington. The ugly: selecting LSU to beat Alabama.
Listed here are this week’s guesses.
Take a look at Stewart Mandel’s picks.
(All level spreads come from BetMGM, click on right here for stay odds, all kickoff instances Jap.)
No. 3 Michigan (-4.5) at No. 10 Penn State, midday (Fox)
This shall be a troublesome place for the Wolverines to play, however J.J. McCarthy (21 TDs, 4 INTs away from Ann Arbor because the begin of 2022) and Michigan have a lot highway expertise. I believe they’ll have the ability to deal with the setting in addition to the entire drama swirling round their program.
Michigan 28, Penn State 20
The Choose: Michigan -4.5
No. 8 Alabama (-10.5) at Kentucky, midday (ESPN)
The Cats snapped a three-game shedding skid by whipping Mississippi State on the highway. Clearly, Alabama is a unique animal, particularly the best way Jalen Milroe is enjoying. UK’s offensive line has been strong, and I believe that group will maintain up properly sufficient to maintain this one shut into the fourth quarter.
Alabama 31, Kentucky 24
The Choose: Kentucky +10.5
No. 13 Tennessee (-1.5) at No. 14 Missouri, 3:30 p.m. (CBS)
Eli Drinkwitz’s squad acquired pounded by the Vols final yr (66-24), very similar to they did by Kansas State (40-12). The Tigers acquired revenge on the Cats earlier this season, and I believe they’ll get some payback on Tennesssee this week.
Missouri 27, Tennessee 24
The Choose: Missouri +1.5
No. 18 Utah at No. 5 Washington (-9.5), 3:30 p.m. (Fox)
The Utes protection is absolutely salty at house. Away, it’s been a unique story, and the Huskies have the type of O-line and passing assault with Michael Penix Jr. (solely 13 sacks allowed prior to now 22 video games) that I count on shall be simply advantageous this weekend in Seattle.
Washington 34, Utah 20
The Choose: Washington -9.5
Miami at No. 4 Florida State (-14.5), 3:30 p.m. (ABC)
The Canes offense has been sputtering since a scorching begin within the first month of the season, and this shall be a troublesome journey. They do have a gifted O-line, however I don’t see them enjoying error-free soccer towards a workforce with the very best offense they’ve seen to this point.
Florida State 34, Miami 17
The Choose: Florida State -14.5
West Virginia at No. 17 Oklahoma (-12.5), 7 p.m. (Fox)
Neal Brown has acquired the Mountaineers rolling once more, and their run recreation has been cranked up the previous month. However I simply don’t suppose they pull the upset towards a workforce that has ok veteran management to maintain the Sooners from going right into a free fall.
Oklahoma 27, West Virginia 23
The Choose: West Virginia +12.5
No. 9 Ole Miss at No. 2 Georgia (-10.5), 7 p.m. (ESPN)
Can Lane Kiffin’s workforce deal with its greatest check? The Rebels are good, however the Dawgs are too bodily. Except quarterback Jaxson Dart can play the very best recreation of his profession, I don’t see Ole Miss profitable in Athens in a recreation that Georgia shall be primed for.
Georgia 38, Ole Miss 23
The Choose: Georgia -10.5
Florida at No. 19 LSU (-14), 7:30 p.m. (SEC Community)
The Gators have been higher than anticipated whereas the Tigers have been worse. However I nonetheless have much more religion in LSU’s ability expertise than Florida’s, significantly in a recreation in Baton Rouge.
LSU 37, Florida 20
The Choose: LSU -14
No. 7 Texas (-10) at TCU, 7:30 p.m. (ABC)
Quinn Ewers is again and the Horns ought to be too gifted for a TCU workforce that’s misplaced 4 of its final 5 video games.
Texas 34, TCU 14
The Choose: Texas -10
USC at No. 6 Oregon (-15.5), 10:30 p.m. (Fox)
Even with a brand new defensive play caller, the Trojans don’t have the personnel to maintain up with the Geese the best way QB Bo Nix is enjoying.
Oregon 49, USC 31
The Choose: Oregon -15.5
Tulsa at No. 23 Tulane (-23.5), midday (Fox)
The Inexperienced Wave are the category of the AAC whereas Tulsa has misplaced 4 straight — two that have been blowouts and the final one, a heartbreaker in time beyond regulation to Charlotte after main by 17 at one level.
Tulane 52, Tulsa 17
The Choose: Tulane -23.5
Feldman’s Upset Particular
Maryland (-2.5) at Nebraska, midday (Peacock)
Although the Huskers simply had a foul loss at Michigan State, their protection has been actually stout, and I’ll play the hunch they’ll get bowl eligible at house towards a workforce that’s stumbling down the stretch.
Nebraska 23, Maryland 20
The Choose: Nebraska +2.5
(Photograph of J.J. McCarthy and Jim Harbaugh: Gregory Shamus / Getty Pictures)
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