Race 4 – 7:30PM RACING AND SPORTS HANDICAP (1250 METRES)
4. Black On Beauty started a rock-solid $2.1 favourite at this track 14 days ago and was honest in defeat. The mare led at a strong tempo, was given no peace throughout, and battled on well for third. That race rated highly relative to the day after adjusting for age, class and additional factors. Before that start, she bolted in at Gosford and showed key attributes. The John O’Shea galloper will roll forward, gets a 2kg swing on her main danger in California Surreal and is ready to win again.
Dangers: 3. California Surreal was run to suit last start but raced well and won in style, producing a career peak figure. The four-year-old mare unleashed a burst of acceleration and ran one of the fastest final 600m splits of the entire meeting in 33.56. She can settle closer from the softer draw and can win again. 9. Deep Opinions is a lightly raced galloper with a strong record. The filly steps sharply in grade but has the potential. 2. Leave Me Some is honest and a last-start winner. Add 8. Edna who has a favourable map.
How to play it: Black On Beauty WIN. Odds & Evens: SPLIT.
Race 5 – 8:00PM THE AGENCY PROPERTY MANAGEMENT HANDICAP (1550 METRES)
10. Soarhi gets in with no weight after the claim for Zac Lloyd, and he will be fitter from his first-up performance at Hawkesbury. He has multiple winning figures and expect him to be savaging the line.
Dangers: 1. Spangler has come back improved in his second Australian campaign after a hidden run first-up in a high-rating race at Rosehill. The gelding will appreciate the step up in distance and will be savaging the line. Add 7. Savvy Legend who is a knockout chance and 3. Showtime Lady who will roll forward.
How to play it: Soarhi WIN & Spangler WIN. Odds & Evens: SPLIT.
Race 6 – 8:30PM BOWERMANS HANDICAP (1900 METRES)
1. Taraashoq was a dominant winner first-up at Gosford 17 days ago, and he did it in style. Further, the gelding responded well when asked for an effort, running some of the fastest closing 400m/200m splits of the day in 23.20/11.60 and went through the line full of energy. The Mark Newnham galloper has improved in his second Australian prep, and all key indicators suggest he will bounce off this performance and will roll forward.
Dangers: 4. Whangaehu was 44 days between runs last start at this track and was outpaced in the early stages. To his credit, he picked up well, made a long-wide sustained run, and closed off well in a high-rating race. 11. Tradition is a nice type on an upwards ratings spiral this prep, and he gets in well at the weights after the claim. Add 8. White Boots to trifectas and first fours.
How to play it: Taraashoq WIN. Odds & Evens: SPLIT.
Race 7 – 9:00PM RYDE KIA EVENING STAR (1250 METRES)
8. Game Theory is in career-best form and is excelling on the recent dry tracks. The gelding led at an even pace last start at this track and sprinted one of the fastest 400m-200m splits of the meeting in 11.12 before being swamped late by the smart Akasawa. The time was solid relative to the night, and he beat the rest easily. The gelding maps to have all favours, and he is ready to win third up. Each-way.
Dangers: 2. Destination bounced back into the winner’s stall last start at this track and ran time. The step up in distance is ideal now and if he can repeat his last start, expect him to be in the finish. 11. Julian Rock had the bias against last start at Kembla six days ago and ran on OK. The eight-year-old produced a peak figure last prep when racing on a quick backup and must go in all wider exotics. 6. Bergen won first-up last campaign and 3. Queen Bellissimo will be fitter and rolls forward.
How to play it: Game Theory E/W. Odds & Evens: EVENS.
Race 8 – 9:30PM THE AGENCY REAL ESTATE HANDICAP (1200 METRES)
3. He’s A Hotshot had all favours first-up at Rosehill in stronger grade but tried hard in defeat and held on for third place. The gelding brings a competitive last-start figure, James McDonald goes on for the first time, and he maps to have all favours. The dry track is ideal, where he produces his peak figures and expect a forward showing.
Dangers: 6. Huon was heavily backed last start at this track when $2.50-$1.90 late in the trade. The gelding had slight excuses but kept trying to the line and ran into second place. That late market intelligence must be respected, and he has a favourable map. Expect improvement from 8. Amortal who receives a significant barrier change, and the blinkers come off. He can rate to win. Add 1. Sweet Ruby to trifectas and first fours.
How to play it: He’s A Hotshot WIN. Odds & Evens: SPLIT.
Best Bet: Race 2 (9) Maritima
Next Best: Race 4 (4) Black On Beauty
Best Value: Race 5 (10) Soarhi and (1) Spangler
Supplied by Racing NSW
Full form and race replays available at racingnsw.com.au.