Optimism
Nonetheless, some optimism stays contained in the British authorities in regards to the Russia-Ukraine conflict. Officers anticipate Ukraine to have the ability to export its full harvest subsequent 12 months after pushing again Russia’s fleet within the Black Sea, and argue the conflict is severely straining Moscow’s economic system.
Whereas there’s frustration in Whitehall in regards to the hold-up within the U.S. Congress, officers imagine there’s nonetheless a very good probability a brand new monetary package deal will cross. Even when it doesn’t, they argue, Ukraine has sufficient European assist to carry the road for an extended whereas but.
Within the meantime, Britain is specializing in new sanctions and controls on Russian gasoline, metals and manufacturing. Cameron has urged allies to spice up protection manufacturing, and British authorities officers have been assembly on whether or not they can seize Russian state belongings to finance Ukraine’s reconstruction.
The larger query shall be what occurs if Donald Trump is elected president. The Republican frontrunner’s remark this week — that he would “encourage” Russia to assault NATO member international locations who don’t pay their approach — obtained a usually understated British pushback from Cameron, who mentioned the remarks had been “not smart.”
Even then, British hope hasn’t pale. Some in Whitehall imagine in a world the place, a 12 months from now, Ukraine is doing a lot better and Trump — ever the entrepreneur — could be persuaded to again a winner.
Good luck, as they are saying, with that.
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